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A New Dynasty in 1916 by OttoVonSuds
A New Dynasty in 1916
Back in 1995, the late John Reilly did an essay about a new dynasty in 1916. Here is my adaptation of it. He didn't speculate much on the wider world picture so the non-chinese bits are 90% me.Ok, me combined with inevitable osmosis from others' scenarios regarding a non-commie China.

At first, China's having an imperial government instead of warlordism doesn't change all that much in the 20s and 30s except for removing Japanese involvement in Manchuria for tactical considerations, along with somewhat altering the ideological evolution of fascism and National Socialism. The example of a reviving China tipped the balance in favor of more old-style religiosity than in OTL -- National Sociaislm and fascism are both significantly more christian-flavored than OTL. There were also some changes in National Socialist ideology regarding the jews: Even before the war, the explicit goal is to give them their own country OUTSIDE of Europe and deport Euirope's jews there rather than any plans involving mass murder. This led to oddities like a JEWISH Waffen SS unit as the war became desperate.

The first noticable change comes with Japan doing an earlier offensive to the south and joining the second world war earlier -- Japanese forces seize french indochina, the dutch east indies and British Malaya in early 1940. The goal is to gain sources of resources, along with surrounding China to prepare for a single offensive -- Japan's goal is to compel China either to submission or neutrality(for the parts not able to be seized).

A unified China was a significantly more attractive target for Japan than OTL, but also more dangerous. This sharpened Japanese strategy towards China. Instead of several meandering offensives like OTL, the plan was to hit China from the east and southeast, along with invading the US's Philippines to prevent US involvement in late 1940 in a single offensive. The US embassy in Washington DC got a formal declaration of war from Japan on December 2, 1940 which even in the spirit of politeness specified the date and time that Japan would invade the Philippines on(December 7, 1940).

Given that the Pacific War was largely a naval campaign, combined with even a not very competent Chinese military' being more organized than OTL's warlords Japan lost earlier than OTL. A campaigns of firebombings and starvation brought Japan to it's knees by late 1944.

The Red Army being bogged down helping the Chinese empire fight off Japan combined with the Nazis being less kill-happy than OTL meant that Moscow and the Baku oilfields were both lost temporarily which extended the European war to early 1946(This also allowed . This allowed Germany to last long enough to eat 5 nukes, along with an even harsher peace treaty -- Prussia-Brandenburg, Austria, Saxony under soviet occupation while Rhineland, Westphalia, Bavaria and Hanover were all western-occupied republics.

The cold war began roughly on schedule in europe on similar borders to OTL, but in Eastern Asia the capitalist world included China, Japan and Korea without the USSR gaining anything from the war. This, of course butterflied out anything like the red scare with domestic policy implications in the United States. "Free trade" globalization kicked off earlier than OTL, including the Chinese Empire. Factories and call centers moved east decades early.

After the war, the Chinese Empire's history mirrored our People's Republic of China after 1950 in many ways even if different in details like making different and less lethal mistakes than OTL's Red China. The Xin Dynasty was greatly energized by being a victor in the war so there was around 15-20 years of growing wealth, with real prosperity in some coastal areas. This was followed by a period of great disorder in the 1960s by elements of traditionalism, or conservative-flavored populists. Where the People's Republic of China and Xin China diverged was in the detail of the restoration of order -- Deng in OTL gained power to fix the system, but this world's version of Deng came to power as a traditionally-minded revolutionary. The price for restoring order in China was jetissoning the corrupt imperial government, and by 1975 the last Emperor was on a plane to Zurich.

The early rise of "free trade" and outsourcing meant that China's move towards a nationalistic economic policy, severely disrupted things for several years as various supply chains/ were broken. This period of instability made the system more fragile, which would become an issue in 1985 .  

The revolution led to the US-Chinese split, even if it wasn't quite as antagonistic as OTL sino-soviet split. Some regimes went in favor of the US, while others latched on to China in response to US moralism(White-ruled african states, Chile, Post-revolutionary Iran). The United States elected a failed actor, who against all previous expectations re: his foreign policy views negotiated the end of the cold war, and new US/soviet cooperation("No more brothers' wars.", "The russians are at least close to being white and it's not like anyone there *believes* in communism these days."). He did not get reelected in 1980 despite being charming and talking alot about "morning in america" as things came apart internationally. At least he didn't lose literally every state like the guy who wins in 1984 did.
 
Following the late 70s recession, the world economy temporarily chugged along until 1985 when the Israelis got into a war with their neighbors, bombed some oil fields and triggered a generation of crises. First there was the oil embargo, then the stagflation, then more stock market crashes, then the riots began. The frightening team of mercenaries temporarily taking New Jersey's largest city Did not help(The diplomatic freakout over  the CIA operating openly in what was then still the USSR was... large once the information about that failed extraction mission came out(US ally or not, it's still the CIA in the bloody USSR). The collapse of the decadent west, combined with the presence of a "safer" model in the form of ultra-conservative China allowed communism to soldier on for a decade more before it all fell apart.

The years 1998-2004 are marked by many as the heart of the dead years. They were the most chaotic years. A former chef with bleached, spiked hair and a flame shirt leading a march to try seizing the white house, the temporary loss of New Jersey's largest city to mercenaries, The reunification of former Germany's 7 countries back into one, the long-delayed collapse of communism in the USSR, the attempts by several southern states to secede, the five-way presidential election of 2000. These events and more all showed that the 20th century was over.

Since the mid-2000s, stability has begun returning but by then many old certainties had gone in the trash, along with both existing jobs and resumes for those who weren't aware of exactly how the world had changed. The world was once again 1) multipolar 2) the power of "international community" opinion over nations' domestic policy/treatment of immigrants was greatly reduced.

***
THE WESTPHALIAN BLOC

China, the FRE, Germany and Japan lead a bloc tired of western moralizing hypocrisy, of promotion of 'democracy', western social liberalism and western notions of the market(isn't odd how "free markets" and "capitalism" coincide with what'll allow western companies to scoop up good deals and block competition?). The bloc derives it's name from the old Westphalian notion of sovereignty.

The Republic of China's governance is in many ways like say Salazar's Portugal, Franco's Spain or Iran -- a quite 'conservative' government, but with a healthy tradition of being friendly to private economic initiative carried out in the context of greater plans. Due to the 'conservative' nature of the post-revolutionary government it's elites at least fake being cultured and keeping up on the confucian traditions. It's no wealthier than OTL China, but in a context where the US economy is half of the size of OTL it's enough to make it the biggest economy on the planet. The future looks bright for China.

The Federated Republics of Eurasia managed to hold on or retake most of the USSR's old territories during the dead years, but Premier Drago wasn't dumb enough to re-annex either Afghanistan or the Baltics, or to even play silly games with Eastern Europe(He's a wiser and less confrontational man than Putin OTL).

Observers both in Japan and elsewhere sometimes use the name Heisei Restoration to identify Japan's post 1990s rightwards move and write lots of worried books about it, when there's one simple explanation; Japan's leadership noticed that the US was busy at home and wasn't available to defend it and decided to accept finlandization in return for a better deal than they got for the US(No whining about lolicon hentai or sexism).

Germany is reunited, and it's government alternates between the German Renaissance Party and the National Conservative Party, both of which are right-wing with the main differences being that one is more technocratic and the other more religious in nature. Germany's government aggressively promotes having children, the immigration of non-muslim sufficiently pale people(the line promoting the solidarity of Neanderthal Man's European and east asian descendents). and even does bachelor/spinster taxes. The fact that immigration from China, the FRE or the former warsaw pact lowers workers' wages is an occasional complaint from left-leaning elements in Germany.

The new intermarum is a bloc of eastern european nations that violently overthrew communit regimes in the early 2000s. Governance tends towards either fascism or military juntas, with a few nations like Poland's theocratic tendencies or Albania's standing out.

Ethiopia is an ultra-conservative monarchy that stays in power by playing to anti-islamic sentiment, pointing to economic growth and keeping the main intellectual forces that could be an opposition on board with strong social conservatism(Ethiopia's kings watched what happened in 1970s China and want no part of it).

Biafra is an unpleasant Christian theocracy with far too much oil for it's own good. Really, the one kind of positive thing that can be said for it's government is that it's branched out to sweatshop industry as a second economic niche for when the oil runs out. It's also significantly more populous than OTL southern/delta nigeria given the muslim majority in Nigeria. misttreatment of Christians and animists.

South Africa has transitioned from being an (afrikaner-led) White Man's Country to a White and Colored Man's country with the Afrikaans-speaking coloreds being brought on board in the 1990s(full equality, even down to no longer being barred from intermarrying). The government is still much like OTL's apartheid state, but is at least more free market than OTL's apartheid was so there's more economic growth there. The notion of bringing in the Indians or malays into the system is being floated in parliament, although the idea of including rich black sellouts was shot down. At least that proposal was shot down with a "wait 10 or 20 years".

Rhodesia is a White and rich black sellout Man's country these days. It nowadays includes 1/3 of it's black population as voting citizens with economic growth leading to more becoming fully equal. It's also now a fifth white thanks to immigration from the west.

Turkey's military junta recently decided to formally codify it's status as a militocracy and thus annoiunced that elections would not be forthcoming. Ability to participate in government would be contingent on one's rank -- the fact that it's 1) hard for women to join the armed forces at all 2) no relaxed standards means much fewer who join can rise acts as a good enough sop to social conservativs. It remains to be seen if this will work, but the fact that (so far) the officer training school still focuses on skills rather than connections.

Besides these notable nations, the Westphalia pact also includes a bunch of pro-Chinese military juntas, one-party states and monarchies. These trend towards the economically nationalistic and soically conservative.

Westphalia pact nations often host various 'far right' websites illegal in places like say Lotharingia or Sweden and quietly funnel money to right-wing publishing houses to push propaganda. This is something that's been practiced by China even before the second world war starting with White Rusian exiles. The fact that that it contributed to the Chinese Revolution's happening is something the Chinese government knows and wouldn't mind replicating elsewhere.

***
EVERYONE ELSE

The United States is inwards-looking, demoted to "great power" and still clearly in recovery from a few bad decades -- national incomes have recovered to half of OTL 2013. Economic policy is a bit incoherent(30% tariff, unconditional basic income, having high land taxes), but clearly fits into populism -- the economy would be even more socialist if it wasn't for libertarian-ish types like the current President forcing compromises. Politics has a whole is rather more regionalized, with the situation being more each region having 2-3 parties competing. At least it's not as unstable as it was in the 1990s. Many isssues are settled by the states, or by the new second tier of autonomy the Union Republics these days. The US experience with having a generous unconditional basic income instead of a large welfare bureaucracy  or all sorts of perks for 'special interests' is starting to be noticed elsewhere since it not only saves money(this is noticed by rich people) it happens to work better.The fact that quite a few Americans blame the jews for the last arab-israeli war, and the following string of crises in the 80s and 90s hasn't led to anything worse than pogroms in the south but quite a few have decided that not being in the US is just common sense.

France is far to the right of OTL but still 1) democratic(Ok, it's divided between the "openly racist, remove kebab" and the "we'll accept you if you change your name, learn french and adopt catholicism/french style laicete" parties.) 2) not willing to play second fiddle in europe to Germany of all places so it's still not in favor of the Westphalian bloc.

Besides Canada, Scandanavia's countries remain the last sources of anything related to OTL's social democracy.

The closest thing to a remnant of the European Union would be the confederation of Lotharingia, formerly known as Benelux. The name was chosen by popular polls in the 1990s to replace Benelux since it sounded better. The other options of "We're not holland, damn it" or "Microsoft Europe" didn't get credible people on board.

Palestine's jewish minority of 38% is starting to get a bit worried -- even before 1990, Israel was less popular than in OTL(The fact the Israel's second, fourth and fifth prime ministers were all veterans of the Waffen SS's Judas maccabeus brigade, along with being as dickish to the local arabs as OTL also didn't help). There are quite a few jewish palestinians looking into passports elsewhere but with the rise of powers that don't have OTL's western reasons to be sympathetic or have a guilt complex, along with the west becoming less sympathetic there's not much luck in finding new places to go to -- quite a few are wondering if they made the right choice in forcing democracy for all back in 1990. To be fair, it's not like it was an entirely voluntary choice since at the time all 3 superpowers expressed their... concerns following the nuking of the oil fields by rogue IDF elements during the war.

***

With China in the capitalist world, technology is boosted by a few years. Not as much as one would expect, thanks to the economic collapse of the west in the 80s and 90s unfortunately. Instead of a 2013 level, think a 2018-2020 level depending on the specific area. Space exploration has been restarted in the past few years, thanks to great power competition.

Despite China's being in the capitalist world, the world is about a decade behind OTL in terms of resource depletion and the weather getting funny. Part of it is the global economic collapse of the late 80s to early 00s, but another part is more serious than OTL efforts to address resource issues following the... disruption caused by the nuking of middle eastern oilfields.

Various 'far right' elements are rather more credible in the liberal democracies of the west than in OTL given the clear failure of the old liberal model combined with decades of China's hosting right-wing publishers giving them more voice.

***
WHOSE WHO

PENN JILLETTE smiles with grim satisfaction as he rejects yet another non-STEM degree applicant.  The dead years might have forced him to give up his dreams of being a magician and plans to appear on TV, but getting to personally trash people's resume was worth it. That and the reliable income.

WILLIAM "BILL" WILSON got that promotion after intervening to save the day and change... plans since he felt the plane crashing without survivors wasn't really a good way to start the day.  He has since left the CIA, to do mercenary work of his own in the third world.

CURTIS GUY YARVIN is the personal advisor to China's President Fang, after a complicated series of events involving fleeing patent-related lawsuits that brought him from San Francisco to Shenzhen and put him in contact with some younger relatives of President Fang. In his free time, he runs a blog which gets some notice but mostly due to his influence.

PEPE CARVALHO and F. WOJAK both bleed out, and feel satisfaction even as their life force drains out from the cops' bullets. They managed to achieve the dream that they've been talking about for years. The dream of writing their law in blood on the streets to teach the Chads and Stacys of this world the meaning of fear. They managed to kill 300 people with a mix of pipe bombs, home made nerve gas in a mall's ventilation system and good old fashioned gunning down people. When the cops check their computers, on pepe's the only comprehensible thing they'll retrieve are 15,000 pictures of a sad frog. Authorities suspect this might be related to why Pepe's body was found covered in green paint. On Wojak's, it will be stylized MS paint drawings of a man, always with the caption ">tfw no gf". Nothing explains why Pepe was covered in green paint. By the time police intervene, Pepe's blue shirt and shorts had both become stained brown with blood and other substances. Two cops will kill themselves later on this day because of what they've seen written on the walls using blood, feces and other substances.

CHRISTOPHER "MOOT" POOLE says for the 50th time that day "Will you like fries with that, Sir?" and dies a little bit more inside. If only he hadn't bitten on the offer to sell the IP addresses of the people posting on his site to gawker last year. If he hadn't done that, maybe he'd either still have a site. At least he wouldn't have an equivelant sized population to New York State after him, wanting his blood and forcing him to change his name.

Fashion mogul JACOBIN MUGATU is living in luxurious retirement and has just placed his second billionth dollar bill in a fancy little glass case in his mansion. Even though his plan to have Malaysia's progressive prime minister assasinated worked out, there was enough of a close call with the model he picked turning on him things worked out at the last minute.

GEORGE W. BUSH is sunning on the beach in Australia and even now glad that he wasn't the one to win in 2000. The (official) democrat candidate won that year, and ended up killing himself on national TV during a state of the union address due to the stress -- the whole "losing a city to mercenaries" thing and even dealing with an attempted putsch by of all things a Food Network host ended up being far too much to bear for the other guy.

Senator JAMES MCGILL is currently involved in a scandal over illegal tiger ownership, tax fraud and frivolous lawsuits. The scandal has expanded to include senators Catalano( D-NY ) and Alexander ( D-NY ) too. Senator McGill is glad he decided to stash all the money he earned from Wayfarer 515 lawsuits in a swiss bank account in case he has to suddenly leave the US.

President DINGBANG FANG of China sits back in his chair after a long day of keeping the various bureaucracies on track. President Fang's mind has  turned towards thoughts of debauchery tonight -- he plans to retire in 5-10 years to avoid the fate of his predecessor Deng who died in office.

GUY FIERI is one of 50 prisoners housed in a reopened Alcatraz. He currently wonders if it'd be possible to order a helium tank from the prison commisary.

President RON PAUL of the United States of America pushes his wheelchair forwards so he can see the TV better. It had been a long and hard road, but America stepped away from the abyss. He's glad that he's sticking with his decision to not run for a fourth term in 2016.

BEN GARRISON is still at large despite a larger manhunt than the ongoing efforts to find the masked leader of the world's most famous mercenary squad...

Constitution, or no constitution, status as  an American expat or not Panama's current president is causing heads to roll. President TOM KRATMAN has no problem with having officials or even legislators executed in job lots to encourage not taking bribes. After all, he came to Panama as a favor for an old friend to clean things up.

Prime Ministe T.L. DE BEER of South Africa is grinning smugly at the news of new affirmative action legislation to favor Palestine's arab majority being passed through Palestine's knesset. The fact that he looks just like Steve Wilkos makes his grin look exactly like Steve Wilkos telling someone they failed a polygraph test for doing something absolutely terrible.
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Kaiser Fred's Germany by OttoVonSuds
Kaiser Fred's Germany
Alright, here's a second Mike Ralls scenario given a map by me, with a few minor changes here and there(I don't buy no spanish-American war in an environment without Kaiser Bill's 'lovely' personality making imperialism look worse.). The influences from others' maps/writeups, including Bruce's No World Wars or my own adaptation of Aedh Rua's no WWI scenario should be obvious since Mike Ralls didn't give a detailed world. This one involves Kaiser Frederick not getting cancer and managing to live longer than OTL. Kaiser Frederick reigns until 1914, long enough to set Germany on a course that doesn't involve biting on obvious bait and getting into a world war.

Every so often there are local or regional wars, but there has been nothing even remotely like a world war. There were a few flashpoints in the early 20th century, along with worrisome moments when both Poland and Finland didn't want to stay part of Russia post-democratization and voted their way out.

The general attitude of this world, is that if they muddle through things will slowly improve over time. This attitude has been helpful in that attempted coups by the far right in 20s or 30s Germany or Japan get stopped for trying to knock over the apple cart and world trade has been kept open. However, as for various forms of societal progress this isn't so helpful, with it being a more conservative world than OTL in many ways. Progress is as a result expected by all, even if it's not well-distributed.

* * *
THE SUPERPOWERS

With the decline and fall of the British Empire, there are now only two superpowers -- the United States and Russia. These two nations operate on a level above and beyond the capabilities of other developed naitons or even say great powers like Japan or Germany or even Britain. Unlike say OTL US/USSR, these two nations are on reasonably decent terms -- The US leaves Russia's near abroad alone and Russia does the same for the US's. The fact that America's leadership remains more isolationist is a BIG help. Despite relative isolationism, these two nations will occasionally get involved to help protect their interests on a cooperative basis.

America, with 360 million people and a per capita real income of 65 grand gets counted as the world's biggest economy, and one of the richest nations per capita -- it's at least the wealthiest nation per capita that's got more than 5 million people. Even now in this era the United States of America has the world's largest economy on the planet, even if it's by a 20% margin ahead of #2 (Russia) or a third ahead of #3 (India).  This is a rather more urban, working-class and populist nation than OTL -- without a world war and convenient timing for having the middle class progressives as the face of leftism and the Socialists being it, there have been some policy differences: more protections for unions and less middle-class employment as regulatory/licensing enforcer. America's population is more 'white ethnic' than OTL due to a longer period of immigration so civil rights only happened in the 1980s.

The Russian Empire is a shaky and vibrantly corrupt semi-democracy that's no more of a corrupt oligarchy than say OTL US 2014. It's a land of great contrasts -- belgium-sized landholdings in Siberia for boyars, the world's fastest rail systems, orthodox preachers and OTL Latin american-type slums outside of it's large cities. The 550 million russians have a living standard on the low edge of "developed", but if all goes well the Russians will catch up with the US sometime this century.

 St. Petersburg and hollywood are protested against due to their respective levels of influence. That and their grabbing most of the talent from everyone else.

A few kooky types have noticed the economic rise of India and in recent years, China's booming economy and have suggested a Russo-American union so that they can continue to be on top -- Russia and the US have gotten used to being the big two and have no real concerns. After all, Washington and Moscow have interests that at least don't collide, while either might have concerns with India or a hypothetical rising China, or even more hypothetical a Europe that confederated -- this last is taken the least seriously for obvious reasons.

THE GREAT POWERS

All of the great powers remain significantly more culturally influential without world wars to force a portion of their talent to flee to the US or get them killed one way or another. This is a less Americanized world than OTL by a visible margin.

India is at mexico-levels of per capita wealth, and by now has the third largest economy on the planet. India probably has enough muscle to be a player on par with either Russia or the US but cautious leadership has confined it to a south asian role.

France and Britain both attempted to turn their empires into federations with mixed results but neither has managed to retain superpower-level influence -- Britain has done better given how its' gotten it's white dominions to agree to close links, along with managing to make something more out of it's commonwealth ties than OTL's Britain. The rich people in both societies can act like nothing's changed in decades more than OTL's.

While Britain and France decided to work together, Germany instead has opted to work on it's own more and has created an alliance of central European states. The German Reich includes OTL 1914 Germany, Austria, Slovenia, Istria and the Sudenten -- Bohemia voted it's way out during the period of decolonization. Germany's government is populistic, nationalistic but clearly a democracy that accepts the existing balance of power.

Mitteleuropa is almost as integrated as OTL EU, but without monetary union. This means it avoids OTL's particular mistakes. Various formerly pro-Russian states like the orthodox balkan monarchies decided to join Mitteleuropa in the 80s as Russia faced internal problems.

Japan with 190 million people and one of the highest levels of wealth in the planet counts as a great power solely for economic reasons -- besides high tech, pop culture and capital goods Japan is known for its' extremely high quality military products. Japanese corporations are able to compete with even Russian or US ones for both scale of operations and level of money.  Japan is more of a democracy than it was in say 1914, but remains run by the old elites to a far greater degree than OTL.

THE CIVILIZED WORLD

These nations are all rich, would clearly be considered 'first world' and largely democratic with the difference between them and the two higher tiers being ability of power projection. Bohemia may be as rich per capita as Germany or the US, but it lacks the nukes of either.

A surprising portion of Latin America has made it into the civilized zone -- Argentina, Chile and Uruguay have both been in it for generations while recent years have seen the convergence of Panama and Venezuela. Venezuela has just recently passed into civilized zone status thanks to the higher oil prices of the past two decades, combined with Venezuela's convenient.  With significantly more global trade, Panama has used canal-related trade to quietly slip in to the bottom edge of 'first world' status in recent years. The leadership is glad they were able to get that far at all, considering the ongoing Central American project to build a canal in Nicaragua which keeps being plagued by setbacks.

The bulk of Europe outside of the large players tends to be a mix of comic opera-style corrupt republics, or corrupt constitutional monarchies. Bohemia's voters miss the sweet federal subsidies from Berlin and a "rejoin germany" party gets 10-20% of the vote regularly. Scandanavia quietly unified into a loose confederation back in 2010. When asked why, Prime Minister Ulf Karlsson cited tax reasons. The Hungarian Republic is still mad about not having Croatia or more of Romania. The Kingdom of Croatia is mad about having to be next to Hungary.Serbia is annoyed at losing Macedonia .

Korea is bilingual Japanese-Korean and kind of loathes Japan for the colonial era -- even a Liberal Japan isn't going to win itself much good PR with the locals.

The Ottoman Empire just made it into the civilized world back in 2010 following a string of halfway decent Sultans. Turkish society is quite conservative, but more cosmopolitan than OTL's turkey in some ways even if they did kick out the non-muslims in the 20s and 30s -- there are Arabs, Kurds, Turks, various turkic groups who emigrated from Russia and even an Iranian-descended Shia minority that fled west during the Russian occupation.

EVERYONE ELSE

The Central American Federation is about as developed as say OTL Mexico and working hard on the Nicaraguan Canal -- they've seen Panama get rich off of trade, and most humiliatingly have become an outsourcing area for those industries no longer profitable to employ Panamanians in.

Brazil has an economy as wealthy per capita as say OTL Romania and 250 million people but it still remains "the country of the future", and not at all influential now. It's still a clearly mixed nation, but decades more of open european immigration and a somewhat earlier demographic transition means the mix is paler than OTL. Despite being a 'whiter' nation than OTL, the wider acceptability of racialism compared to our world means there's bigger issues with white nationalist-leaning seperatists in the far south.

The rest of Latin America is largely more of the same and not really that different from OTL except for being a bit wealthier. Governance has evolved to much like OTL's oligarchic democracy, with the timing being a bit different from ours.

Most of Africa is more of the same, except for being a bit richer thanks to the prevailing non-european models not being communism, combined with a shorter time for kleptocracy to take hold. The same economic or geographic factors which led to Africa tending to be a backwater in OTL largely apply. African nations that do things like nationalize foreign interests find the Wehrmacht or US marines or other special forces sitting in their presidential palace even now. Wester.

The old nationalist government that ruled Portugal fled to Angola, along with a fourth of Portugal's population and these days angola is a pro-business, junta transitioning to one-party state with an average income  that's close to breaking in to "middle income" status.

South Africa isn't quite first world, but is significantly closer than it ever was in OTL. It's white supremacist government is seen as a bit 'weird' and gauche, but in this world which is  more willing to respect westphalian norms of sovereignty for white nations nobody bothers sanctioning it. This fact is a relief to the Afrikaner-led government since more trade led to a black demographic transition a generation or so back and now, even WITHOUT immigration in the equation the white fertility rate is a bit higher than the african fertility rate.

The islamic world is wealthier than OTL given freer markets and different non-UK/France models to follow -- capitalism plus corrupt, conservative autocracy like Czarist Russia, Meiji-style modernization like Japan or kemalism writ large like China. There are reactionary forces, but the OTL blend of religious fundamentalism, socialism, populism and maoist-style third worldism that is our world's islamicism doesn't exist. The closest thing would be Islamic versions of Salazar, Franco or Pinochet.

The Republic of China is ruled by populist nationalists who focus on modernization. Think Turkish Kemalism, but obviously less extreme than OTL's turkey given the sheer administrative hurdles. This modernization-focused government is starting to breed dissidents... critical of modernism. Think Turkey's islamists, but with confucianism being the ideology generating critiques of modernization. China is a decade behind OTL in relative wealth, due to it's focus on growing the domestic market rather than integrating with the world economy combined with emphasizing resource self-sufficiency.

Iran, once it kicked the Russians out in the late 60s decided to copy China with pseudo-Kemalism. The fact that Iran has oil money actually made it work, and Iran is within 5-10 years of breaking into developed nation status. The fact that they're showing more visible results than OTL's Kemalism is probably why Iran in this world isn't seeing the kind of opposition to modernization and secularism than OTL Turkey's started to see in the past few decades.

The Philippines is in the middle of an economic boom that's brought it up to upper-middle income, and will probably soon get as rich as say Puerto Rico.

* * *

Economic theory in this world, like OTL's consensus in the developed west is basically the same package of largely free markets, with a welfare state of some sort to supplement it. Granted, there are differences in  the specific details due to the fact that this expansion of the welfare state has happened ni fits and starts rather than a few large burstrs. In terms of percentages spent on welfare and numbers of program think the non-US anglosphere as the norm for the developed world -- free trade has been common for longer than OTL, yes but without communism as a bogeyman both the labor movement and social democratic parties can be more active.

On a social level, this world is rather more conservative than ours but it's more of an old-style conservatism with the goal being of slowing down change so that society can adjust without going too far, too fast. Anther factor effecting how legislation and norms evolve is more expectation of people publicly conforming, even if they disagree privately -- even though homosexuals are quietly accepted in most of the developed world, only a few areas have domestic partnership laws. A couple of the more progressive-minded states in europe have just established domestic partnership laws for homosexuals. Due to this same conservative tendency combined with the twin factors of prohibition being avoided, along with less influence by the relatively puritanical US narcotics laws are weaker than OTL. Various 'nanny state' type legislation is weaker than in OTL.

Despite much more stability and prosperity than OTL, art and culture are surprisingly not that much more decadent and florid than OTL. There have been cycles of reform and reactionary cooldown like in OTL if differently timed and the old order remains to keep a lid on things, or at least to make them either more gradual or force compromises to account for reality.

Fashion remains retro compared to OTL, but happens to be significantly more colorful than say OTL 19th/early 20th century. The same goes for architecture, which means there's no shortage of faux-gothic or victorian-style buildings using modern materials for size with the undesirable addition of neon lighting. Yes, this is a world where Dick Tracy's yellow suit would be fully acceptable in society.

Without the collapse of the old order, it's still expected for elites in western nations to have an acquaintance with both Latin and Greek along with classical studies. This helps boost the quality of governance a bit given it's usefulness in the current period of prosperity combined with multiple civilizations interacting.

Dueling is once again legal in a couple of Latin American states, Liechtenstien and Bulgaria. Dueling using rubber bullets or fencing swords is legal in a good portion of the civilized zone.

The combination of 1) desire for national prestige 2) a larger capitalist world than OTL 3) great powers putting in R&D for strategic reasons 4) multiple powers able to support US/USSR level investments in R&D(US, Russia, Japan, joint commonwealth efforts, Germany) have made this world over a generation ahead in technology compared to OTL. Besides, being a generation ahead this world sees much more use and filling out of what's possible at any given level than OTL with mixed results -- airships proved to be a dead end for most uses by the 1960s with turboprops managing to make it till the early 90s, but some of the biotech like cures for some of the 'easy' cancers are a nice dividend. There are lunar bases, but absurd costs have meant nobody's going to go to mars soon(People are talking about doing it by 2050, though).

World population is 7.3 billion like OTL 2015, but the main difference is in relative ages -- the developed world(both OTL first world, Russia, South Africa(European population that is, not the africans), the southern cone, Brazil and China are all somewhat younger than OTL while the more backwards nations are all significantly older than OTL(more investment, combined with faster spread of condoms/the pill and capitalist economics promoting urbanism).

The 'developed' world are all areas of immigration like OTL, even if the sources are different. A more conservative west is more willing to let in Latin Americans, christian converts from China or (pre-development) people from Russia than they are people from the middle east or Africa.

Resources are starting to get a bit pricey, but nothing's run out yet. Antarctica, various metal-rich sites in the ocean along with increasingly deep mining operations are being done to get access to increasingly costly minerals and oil. People are starting to get worried enough to pump money into possible white elephants like breeder reactors, orbital solar and cold fusion. The fact that third world population growth is slow compared to OTL isn' of much comfort to the people looking into the resource numbers given more 'first world' consumers.

Pushy nationalism remains more acceptable, which produces much hilarious nationalist chest-beating and headlines. There is no shortage of ultra-low budget Serbia Strong type videos out there  on the local versions of youtube.
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Another short one expanding on a Scott Palter post from the alternate-history group. In this, Churchill won the 1945 general election but ends up wishing he hadn't.

Essentially, the Tories end up taking the blame for the postwar financial crisis which leads to 30 years of unbroken Labor rule. As a result, there is no British involvement in NATO, and the UK is finlandized. As a result of this, Around a third of the United Kingdom's population leaves between the 60s to the early 90s to other anglosphere democracies.

Despite this, world history follows a course much like ours in most ways. The cold war roughly follows our world's pattern and history largely continues as per OTL into the 1990s.  Granted, there are little bits and pieces that diverge like Rhodesia's 1949 independence, African and carib decolonization of Britain's posessions coming in the 50s instead of being delayed.

The big divergence comes, when due to there being one less point of failure in the financial market, it's the dot-com crash that spirtals the world down like our world's ongoing Great Recession -- this is an economic downturn that's liable to end with borders and flags having changed in the interim. For the past decade or so, much of the world has been in a nasty, lagging recession that seemingly won't lift, punctuated with the occasional steep drop down. This has produced a corrosponding increase in cynicism and political radicalism. In the third world, this economic stagnation is leading to a degree of chaos.

Due to the city of London's financiers essentially all moving to NYC, the world financial sector has one fewer point of failure. This made the 1987 crash worse, as well as making this world's version of current economic troubles beginning in 2000.

***

The United Kingdom is grey, poor, over-regulated and after the financial meltdown of the 70s is actually down to eastern european levels. Of course, before Labour got out of power, Britain had already fallen to greek levels. 1970s Greece. Elections are between liberals and Labour, with the two parties being decreasingly indistinct in what they do when in power -- they make civil servants ask for bribes instead of paying them a salary, sell off Britain's artistic and architectural patrimony to foreign investors and generally don't produce a friendly economic environment. The BBC is long gone, Big Ben was sold to a Chinese mining concern and relocated to Shanghai and thery are in discussions about selling Buckingham palace to a Chinese tourism concern planning to relocate it to outside of Hong Kong.

The irish troubles kicked off earlier thanks to PM Churchill's reaction to Ireland's leaving the commonwealth. They are still going on at 70s and 80s levels. Peace talks in Northern Ireland have failed in 1978, 1988, 1999 and 2006. Ireland is still a troubled, ultraconservative backwater that exports immigrants.

America is poorer, inwards-looking, bitter and deeply divided, even compared to our world's nation -- the United States is probably not long for this world.  Talk of secession is far more serious than in our world and 15 states have operating secessionist parties with some credibility. An America that can no longer afford hedonism, has instead turned to blood. Cynicism and lack of faith in the system are both at late soviet levels -- The silent and Boomer generations clearly benefitted from their ambition but they decided to just let the younger generations eat the costs.

The European Union centralized earlier than in OTL without the UK's involvement, which made it even more vulnerable to member states' poor fiscal policies. As a result, it went broke in the middle of last decade, instead of possibly going broke by the end of this decade. The ongoing revival of nationalism in Europe has been advanced -- 'extreme' right-wing parties rule greece, hungary and France. Germany has a terrorism problem with angry young germans disgusted with their elders' voting to bail out the rest of Europe. Even though they remain mostly democratic Denmark and the Netherlands are both ruled by more moderate nationalist, populist parties.

The Golden Dawn is busy removing immigrants from Greece despite the handwringing about "genocide" from the western media.

Due to butterflies involving Indian independence, Pakistan got all of Kashmir and has cold, but civilized relations with India. The fact that India didn't let Pakistan do overflights during Bengal's struggle for independence is a bit of a sore point, but it's not the kind of issue leading to building nukes.

India is much like OTL, minus the nuclear standoff with Pakistan. As a result, India didn't get nukes until 2007. The fact that there is less to unite around, than in OTL makes Indian politics more fraught and zero-sum than in our world. The naxalite issue is even worse -- instead of just being a regional issue, various undercaste populaitons are fnding their ideology to be quite appealing.

Sikkim never got digested into India.

China is much like OTL, except say 7-10 years behind economically since there isn't the wealth in the west to export anywhere near as much to. On the one hand there's less growth, but on the other hand this slower pace is more sustainable and less likely to stall out suddenly so it's not all  bad for them.

Rhodesia and South Africa are Chinese protectorates and still under their white minorities. Rhodesia has had black prime ministers since the 1980s, but the voting qualifications remain. There are elements in both nations displeased re: the allowance of chinese immigration as part of the deal. Both countries have visible slavic minorities thanks to post-soviet emigration along with larger English populations of people who've left the UK.

South Africa and Rhodesia's companies offer cheap hosting for various 'far right' online communities, to the annoyance of various western nations. This, oddly includes websites where the userbase is focused on being disruptive -- The servers of both 4chan and 8chan are located in Salisbury

Australia's population is 50% larger and still lilly white, due to British emigration. The "White Australia" policy stayed in place long enough to prepare Australia to get a massive amount of eastern european immigrants post-1991. Australia is whiter, more moralistic and a bit controversial since "to catch a poofter" is shown on their TV -- now even featuring a Chris Hansen who took the job of host for it once he saw the pay numbers the Australians were willing to offer him.

Canada is a more anglo-saxon nation than in our world due to British refugees. Quebec voted to leave in 1995, possibly in reaction to the anglo-saxon influx. Quebec is a bit pissed off that they didn't get ungava or Montreal but still participates in NAFTA.

Butterflies arising from a smoother transition to independence in former British East Africa led to the East African Community forming a federal state back in 2009. The one notable difference is that Zanzibar was not part of Tanganyika pre-unification.

Zanzibar is sort of a poorer, less functional singapore. It's a middle income city-state with large slums.

A third world that's even more chaotic has led to mercenary companies beginning to operate openly again in parts of the third world. Recently The Legio Del Cid made the news for not just burning a somali port as reprisals for pirates attacking an oil transport ship but getting away with it -- the fact a US navy ship in the area was also hit by the same pirates is probably why.

Piracy is a worse problem than in OTL's oceans. East Africa, the seas around yemen, Indonesia and now in recent years parts of Western Africa have pirate trouble. Projections show that if current trends of rising disorder continue that soon both the pacific itself and the caribbean will become pirate nests within a generation.

Apocalyptic religiosity is somewhat more credible since civilization is clearly going to the dogs in a way significantly worse than OTL. The same trend produces an even stronger prepper/survivalist movement even outside of the United States.
Thanks, Sir Winston
Winston Churchill wins in 1945. Things... don't quite go his way.
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Too Proud to Fight by OttoVonSuds
Too Proud to Fight
Alright, here's another world based off of an old Scott Palter scenario. In it, the gimmick is that due to a mix of blustering plus the leader of a revolutionary faction in Mexico saying the wrong thing the United States stays out of the war in Europe to focus it's attention on points south.

As a result of this, the Great War ends in early 1918 following a second round of mutinies in French lines, the Russian revolution and red uprisings in the UK("Council of Edinburgh"). President Wilson's sole role in this is to negotiate something resembling a reasonable peace in the west -- Germany withdrawing from areas to the west of it's 1914 borders except for Liege, Luxemberg and Brey-Longway. Germany has won by exhaustion and default.

The 1920s and 30s see a continuation of the instability -- there are attempts from the west to overthrow the USSR, The long US war to bring order to Mexico, Japan retaining Manchuria and far east Siberia out of the russian civil war with the capstone to this era of instability being the red revolutions in Latin Europe in the mid 30s along with the Soviet-Ottoman war of 1940-42.

Since then, the world has been in a pattern of continual, if mild cold war but without serious hot wars -- the disorder of much of OTL's third world would not be tolerated. The price of this order is constant reintervention from the metropole into the colonies. The European empires rebel, with arms from Moscow or  Paris but aren't lost(Yes, the colonial powers have felt a need to at least get local elites in some of the more 'advanced' areas on board -- India, Egypt, Ceylon and a couple of other areas have been granted dominion status.

Think of this as something like the world of L.A. Confidential, only a bit more prosperous and with lots of mid century-style "futuristic" or international style architecture. No internet or (civilian) comsats, but they've  got good high-speed rail and lots of poorly kept up raygun gothic-style architecture.

***

The United States, while it's stuck in a near-permanent McCarthy era at least has rather less inequality than OTL, actually enforces anti-trust law and unlike the rest of the planet has real elections. Those features aside, it's a rather unpleasant place. Segregation is the law of the land in most of the nation, but at least parts of the north have tossed their laws and the south has relaxed from mid-century extremes of sticking black people in tiny rural 'homelands' to say 1930s missisipi of OTL. Northern Mexico, most of the non-french/british caribbean, the phillippines and Hawaii all remain ruled as colonial territories. Rump Mexico, Panama and the United Fruit-sponsored state of Central America are all de facto colonies.

Britain is trying to recover from fascism these days. The United Kingdom itself is whiter than OTL. Some of it's dominions like Canada or South Africa have moved to more dominant party status, rather than open one-party states while other areas like Australia due to a mix of location and paranoia are still more like mid-century Britain in terms of the level of fascism in place.

South Africa's governance is run by types who make OTL's National Party look like the ANC in comparison. South Africa's one-child policy for africans and two-child policy for coloreds is something that's seen as a bit 'funny' even in this unpleasant world -- a need to keep India on board meant that Indians in South Africa got reclassified as "white" in the 1990s.

Australia's government is celebrating the fifth anniversary of the extinction of the last known aboriginal language as "white Australia day".

Germany still leads Mitteleuropa, but at least isn't fascist these days. Yes, in this world relaxing to something like Salazar's junta is actually a liberatory move. It's not particularly racialist these days, since anyone who is pale enough and willing to learn German can move -- this is done in an effort to be able equal both the USSR and Latin People's Republic in power.

Mitteleuropa ranges from right-wing democracy to "occasionally has elections when opposition is safely jailed" to fascist to generic junta. The general atmosphere is grey, dreary and rather paranoid of the red menace.

North Italy is run by the heirs of Evola and is appropriately ghastly -- think North Korea, but with internal mixed economics, lots of religion and embarassing roman fetishism. Currently birthrates are dropping even despite the usage of rape-camps to "encourage" non-party women to get pregnant.

The Empire of Japan and it's northeast Asian puppets are all fascist states -- the Japanese jutna government managed to fully harden into Fascism and make it stick even to this day unlike the weaker attempts in both Britain or Germany.

The West African federation is a state founded from french exiles that has evolved from white supremacist fascism to non-racist, but still religiously discriminatory fascism -- everyone has equal rights in theory, but oddly the muslim minority never gets into the good jobs -- the fact that catholic Africans can get into the good jobs, while the more caucasian muslim arabs can't is seen as a bit odd by most.

The Soviet Union leads the Comintern. Things have relaxed to roughly 50s Khrustchev-type governance with Yugoslav or Hungarian economics, which considering the Stalin, Molotov, Rasputin and Oginin eras is a major improvement. Premier Fedoseev is a non-entity acceptable to Army and the KGB and is clearly accountable and down to first among equals rather than either absolute dictator like Stalin, Molotov and Rasputin or a Party ideologue who used naked fear and terror to maintain his grip like Oginin was.

The Latin People's Republic is the second major Comintern state and is a relatively pragmatic form of communist state given it's geography and relative lack of resources. Think more a Yugoslav or Hungarian-type communism rather than say OTL Soviet as the norm. The effort to create a common Latin culture by forcing people to learn Esperanto are being quietly dismantled given increasing resistance -- it's going the same way as the  anti-religion campaigns of the 30s to 60s, if slower.

The government of the People's Democratic Progressive Federated Liberated African Worker's Republic of Congo is shaky and has a tenth of the population of OTL's Congo. A good chunk of Congo isn't safe to be even in given the expired bioweapons waste left lying around. The ideology of "left singularity" is the most extreme form of communism on the planet.

Argentina is pretty much a white North Korea, led by Che Guevara's son -- medical technology meant Che died in his mid 70s. Che II is proving to be as  much of a "character" as his father was.

Like it's patron the soviet Union, The Democratic Republic of China has relaxed to 50s Maoist China levels of ghastliness, a clear step up from both it's initial north korea-tier governance, or the more moderate cultural revolution-era radicalism of the suceeding decades.

Indonesia is run as a multi-power codominion -- the oil, other resources and cheap labor all made it too useful to be allowed to go communist. That and the question of who'd get the spoils being too divisive of a question to answer properly.

Most of the third world remains in either de facto or de jure colonialism. This breeds an endless guerilla struggle, which in turn leads to repression.

***

Technology is three to four decades behind the real world in many areas due to there being much less of a force draft push than in our 20th century. Military or internal security technology is 30 years behind, while civilian technology is a full 40 years behind. The fact that most research or implementation is secret is a good part of why this lag exists. The second rreason why this lag exists is government paranoia -- despite being technically possible cable TV has been largely stopped in most nations for vague reasons along with the fact that incipiant personal computer revolutions have been stifled a couple times in the last decade on security grounds. One of the few areas where less of a lag exists is medicine, where investment in eugenics as justified more research into it, so it's actually only 20 years behind OTL.

The area with least of a lag would be various sorts of applied psychology, specifically those relating to propaganda or interrogration. Governments have quite an incentive in this paranoid world to do it. There are secret labs out in the nevada desert, Transylvania(The current german kaiser has a weird sense of humor), The Brazilian Amazon(conveniently near tropical plant research facilities!) among other places.

 All states are garrison police states of one sort or another with many secret undergrounds, armed wings of semilegitnate parties, and COUNTINTELPRO type provocations.  Essentially an endless McCarthy era here in the United States and an endless version of the German WWI military state in the rest of Europe under various color banners, Fascism in both Britain and Japan along with the communist police states.  Civil liberties are VERY restricted.  Morals legislation, censorship and eugenics are very strong.  The health nazis have real police backing in a way not seen in OTL.  Difference is BAD.  The group norm is good.

The flipside of the increased (State-enforced) conformism is that all societies do rather more for the bottom and do more to repress conspicious consumption for the wealthy through taxes on excess profits, sumptuory laws, luxury good taxes, restrictions on frivolous business. Of course, what these societies do isn't so much measures to attempt equality or to provide for more open advancement, but paternalistic measures -- there are extensive benefits but only if you work, and people who get on the dole find their lives scrutinized. Labor organizers trying to work outside of the system find themselves in secret prisons.

Economic policy tends towards the statist. Corporations are either part of the state or actively repressed, with the same applying for labor organization. This of course ranges from an expanded New Deal in the United States, Fascist-style corporatism in the fascist bloc, 'national capitalism' in Germany to moderate, NEP-flavored communism in the red bloc. The idea that you could run major industries without state ownership would be seen as impractical  and 'weird' by most. Treasonous by some, in fact.
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Semper Fi is uploaded, after one year to actually FINISH the bloody map and close to three to get the writeup done and coherent.

Next up is If Drouet's Cart had stuck 2014 followed by, "Al Gore wins: 2014" and "After the midlands". 

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:iconbeedok:
beedok Featured By Owner Apr 11, 2015
And again!
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:iconbeedok:
beedok Featured By Owner Dec 12, 2014
Thanks for the faves. :D
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:iconottovonsuds:
OttoVonSuds Featured By Owner Nov 30, 2014
Not much to say tbh.

They're the kind of sunni fanatic uprising from the desert you get every few generations. Maybe they'll make a lasting state and make diplomacy in the region more complicated. Maybe they won'r.
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:iconkyuzoaoi:
kyuzoaoi Featured By Owner Edited Nov 29, 2014  Student Artist
What is your estimate on ISIS?
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:iconslaytaninc:
Slaytaninc Featured By Owner Aug 3, 2014
New idea:

Nixon (R) 1969-1977 (The GOP's "Reagan"

Ford (R) 1977-1981 (Reagan as VP)
Carter (D) 1981
-1989 (or another Democrat) (The Democrat's "Reagan")
Bush (R) 1989-1993
Random Democrat (D ofc) 1993-2001
McCain (R) 2001-2009
Another Random Democrat (D) 2009-

Another one that won't be official ofc.
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:iconkyuzoaoi:
kyuzoaoi Featured By Owner Edited Aug 2, 2014  Student Artist
They are sometimes almost overbearing.
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:iconottovonsuds:
OttoVonSuds Featured By Owner Aug 2, 2014
They need Wotan.
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:iconkyuzoaoi:
kyuzoaoi Featured By Owner Aug 2, 2014  Student Artist
You opinion on this deviantart page:

exaltgod.deviantart.com
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:iconottovonsuds:
OttoVonSuds Featured By Owner Jul 31, 2014
Ah, well without watergate you wouldn't get Carter in 1976, though. You'd likely get ither Ford or REagan in that year.
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